Older people are the main users of health and social care services. In 2013 local authorities spent 51% of their adult social care spend on people aged 65 and over and two thirds of prescriptions in primary care were for older people. Older people account for 68% of emergency beds in hospital.
In 2035, it is projected that the number of all adults aged over 65 years will account for 31% of the population across Dorset. The impact of an ageing population could be greater in Dorset County Council area, with older people accounting for 36% of the population by 2033 compared to Bournemouth and Poole where rates are 23% and 28% respectively.
Risk factors found in the literature, that can predict ill health in old age differ across Dorset. Our analysis found that limited long term illness was more prevalent across Dorset County Council area, while income deprivation in old age was more prevalent in the urban areas of Poole and Bournemouth.
It is projected that the demand for care will increase by over 50% by 2032 compared to the supply of this type of care which will rise by just 25%.
Adults with learning disabilities
People with learning disability often have a wide range of health and social care needs. In addition, people with learning disability often have physical or developmental disabilities, mental and physical ill-health and a range of behavioural problems that require services. Across Dorset there are an estimated 17,815 people of all ages with some degree of learning disability. A shift in models of care is likely to result in more individual, outcome-based support and less residential provision.